I knew the job was dangerous when I took it ...
- Jul 19, 2004
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- Out of Bounds
The outgoing head of the US National Weather Service claims the biggest problem with effective weather forecasting is getting people to understand what the forecasts mean.
FULL STORY: https://www.npr.org/2022/01/07/1070...tting-people-to-understand-them-is-even-hardeMaking weather forecasts is hard. Getting people to understand them is even harder
Louis Uccellini retired at the beginning of the month as director of the National Weather Service, the federal agency responsible for issuing forecasts and warnings. His departure ends a nine-year tenure when the weather – especially extreme weather – began upending the lives of greater numbers of Americans. ...
Uccellini spent a great deal of his time as director on improving technology at the weather service. But the agency's biggest challenge is effective messaging about the weather, especially extreme events, Uccellini says.
Even now, people don't really understand what forecasts are telling them. A 20% chance of rain, for example, is often seen as a low probability event when it actually means 20% of a city's area will see rain. ...