A better than 50/50 chance Kepler-186f has technological life
SETI Live's data on Kepler-186's solar system could be revealing evidence of extraterrestrial life. SETI may have seen ET's satellite signals already. Here is the data and my analysis. From my own expertise and experience in astronomy, specifically classifying signals for SETI Live... I say there is a better than 50/50 chance we have found that we are not alone.
SETI Live, a program whereby anyone can take part in searching for extraterrestrial intelligence has already pointed it's telescope array at Kepler-186, also known as KIC 8120608. I have done some digging and found their results. The following image shows the actual data from SETI Live on Kepler-186. This image is what SEIT Live calls a "waterfall".
So, now that you know what you would be seeing here is what the Allen Telescope Array saw from Kepler 186 on April 12th of 2014 at 19:20 UTC. The frequency is approximately 6430.5 MHz (or 6.4305 GHz).
Do any of you see a pattern in this noisy data? Do any of you see what could look like a broadband signal from ET?
One of the problem with searching for ET's radio signals is that we often use the same frequencies. The laws of physics dictate the way we use satellite communications. ET would have to obey those same laws. As it happens the above data was taken at the C band... often used on Earth for satellite communication.
So how can we know weather we are looking at RFI from our own satellites or an ET signal?
A signal from Kepler-186f would be very faint. It would look almost like static. The difference is there would be a pattern of white streaks. A few dozen pixels long and slightly on the diagonal. They would be next to each other indicating a communication band. IF there is a civilization with a satellite system at least as complicated as our own, there would be many such banded patterns next to each other.
I have been looking at SETI Live data on and off for many years now. I think I know RFI when I see it. I know random static when I see it. Looking at the data from Kepler-186f this is what I see.
Usually I am the one who gives a sober voice and a calm measured reading to scientific data while the rest of the media has a field day. That is my niche. There are many caveats to what I am about to claim. This could be confirmation bias. Who wouldn't want to find such a signal set in a known solar system? It could be really weak RFI from Seth Shostak talking to his wife about picking up milk on his Bluetooth. It could be reflected interference from satellites in Earth's orbit. I could have lost my ever loving mind.
Allow me to be bombastic, based on the above data and I will say there is a better than 50/50 chance Kepler-186f has technological life.
There is a strong possibility that KEPLER-186f may have intelligent life! Much more study would be needed along many fronts before we could know this one way or the other with real certainty. I would put the odds at 50/50 or 60/40 in favor of intelligent life using radio.
I wish to go on record publicly now as saying that there is a very good chance Kepler-186 has a technological civilization which 500 years ago (when the signals would have left there) was at least as advanced as our own. I could be very wrong....but that data is just what I would expect an ET signal to look like. It would be very noisy and degraded broadband communication as one would see from a network of satellites orbiting a planet.
Michio Kaku explains the problems with searching for ET quite well.
His mention of ET using a broadband signal is just what I had in mind for the last two or three years or so that I have been doing this. The signals I see in that background are what a broadband signal would look like.
None of this is withstanding what I said earlier about how Kepler-186f is most likely much colder than Earth. There is no reason that technological life could not develop on a very cold planet. To life which is evolved for such a planet our world is what would seem strange.
How to test this hypothesis.
This situation shows the reason we need to restart work on the terrestrial Planet finder (both versions coroagraph and interferometer). If we had the TPF right now we could find out just what the deal was with Kepler-186f.
Only a device like the TPF could practically test the hypothesis that Kepler-186f has technological life in a very rigorous way. Listening in on radio has many question marks. Seeing the spectrum of the planet and finding methane, water vapor, carbon dioxide, and soot, from technological life would close the case to a 70-80 percent chance.
One more thing to consider. If there are ET's living on Kepler-186f they look at Earth and see us at about 500 years ago. They see Earth at about the same time that Pocahontas was alive. So unless they have something like the terrestrial planet finder they have no idea we are here, and intelligent.
Updated 4/24/2014 3:05 AM CDST to add a illustration which hi lites my points about what it would take to say we've found ET technological life with anything like 90 or 100 percent certainty.
To look for a signal so strong that it would've been beamed at us intentionally is not a good way to proceed. Instead we should look for three kinds of evidence, which by themselves would not be proof enough, but when taken together are a powerful argument that a planet must have technological life. Like a stool needs all three legs for support and stability, this conclusion needs at least the three types of evidence in the triangle. A Earth mass planet in the habitable zone, possible communication as indicated by non-random appearing radio, IR, or optical signals, and spectroscopic data indicating a life friendly atmosphere with trace elements technology would introduce.
Any one of those three types of proof could be explained away by a naturalistic explanation. Spectral analysis of 186f, or any other planets atmosphere showing carbon, soot, water vapor, oxygen, nitrogen, and trace radioactive elements could mean two things. Either a civilization like ours has been belching out carbon oxides and testing nuclear weapons in the atmosphere...or there is very active volcanism. If we have that spectra data, and a HZ planet, and possible communications, the odds we would see all of those by chance are astronomical...less than 1%. Then and only then could we say we have likely found the home of another technologically intelligent species.
At best what we have on 186f now gives us a two legged stool. A two legged stool cannot stand, but we should try to find that third leg.
http://www.science20.com/quantum_gravit ... ife-134555
Oldest Known Potentially Habitable Exoplanet Found
The planets around the nearby red-dwarf Kapteyn's star are over twice as old as Earth
An international team of astronomers, led by Guillem Anglada-Escude from Queen Mary University, reports two new planets orbiting a very old and nearby star to the Sun named Kapteyn's star. One of the newly-discovered planets, Kapteyn b, is potentially habitable as it has the right-size and orbit to support liquid water on its surface. What makes this discovery highly interesting is the peculiar story and age of the star. Kapteyn b is likely over twice the age of Earth and the oldest known potentially habitable planet listed in the Habitable Exoplanets Catalog.
The Super-Earth Kapteyn b orbits the star every 48 days and has a mass at least five times that of Earth's. The second planet, Kapteyn c, is a more massive Super-Earth with an orbit of 121 days and too cold to support liquid water. At the moment, only a few properties of the planets are known: minimum masses, orbital periods, and distances to the star. By measuring their atmospheres with future instruments, scientists will try to find out whether some of these planets are truly habitable worlds.
Kapteyn b is probably colder than Earth given a similar atmosphere. However a denser atmosphere could easily provide for equal or even higher temperatures. Based on its stellar flux (45% that of Earth's) and mass (? 4.8 Earth masses) the Earth Similarity Index (ESI) of Kapteyn b is comparable to Kepler-62f and Kepler-186f. Given its old age (~11.5 billion years), Kapteyn b has had plenty of time to develop life, as we know it.
The astronomers used new data from HARPS spectrometer at the ESO's La Silla observatory in Chile to measure tiny periodic changes in the motion of the star. Using the Doppler Effect, which shifts the star’s light spectrum depending on its velocity, the scientists worked out some properties of these planets, such as their masses and orbital periods.The study also combined data from two more high-precision spectrometers to secure the detection: HIRES at Keck Observatory and PFS at Magellan/Las Campanas Observatory.
About Kapteyn's Star
Discovered at the end of the 19th century and named after the Dutch astronomer who found it (Jacobus Kapteyn), Kapteyn's is the second fastest moving star in the sky and belongs to the galactic halo, an extended cloud of stars orbiting our Galaxy in very elliptic orbits. With a third of the mass of the Sun, this red-dwarf can be seen in the southern constellation of Pictor with an amateur telescope.
Typical planetary systems detected by NASA's Kepler mission are hundreds of light-years away. In contrast, Kapteyn's star is the 25th nearest star to the Sun and it is only 13 light years away from Earth. It was born in a dwarf Galaxy absorbed and disrupted by the Early Milky Way. Such a galactic disruption event put the star in its fast halo orbit. The likely remnant core of the original dwarf galaxy is Omega Centauri, an enigmatic globular cluster 16,000 light years from Earth which contains hundreds of thousands of similarly old suns. This sets the most likely age of its planets at 11.5 billion years; which is 2.5 times older than Earth and 'only' 2 billion years younger than the Universe itself (~13.7 billion years).
Expect future alien contactees to meet beings from Kapteyn's star, especially Kapteyn b...PeteByrdie said:Planet Habitability Laboratory - University of Puerto Rico at Arecibo
Oldest Known Potentially Habitable Exoplanet Found
Kapteyn's star is the 25th nearest star to the Sun and it is only 13 light years away from Earth. It was born in a dwarf Galaxy absorbed and disrupted by the Early Milky Way. Such a galactic disruption event put the star in its fast halo orbit. The likely remnant core of the original dwarf galaxy is Omega Centauri, an enigmatic globular cluster 16,000 light years from Earth which contains hundreds of thousands of similarly old suns. This sets the most likely age of its planets at 11.5 billion years; which is 2.5 times older than Earth and 'only' 2 billion years younger than the Universe itself (~13.7 billion years).
One of the Most Earthlike Planets Ever Found May Not Exist
What was thought to be a planet in the "Goldilocks Zone" of its star may have just been starspots.
The Sun, imaged through calcium K (blue) and hydrogen alpha (red) filters. Prominences are shown inverted for visibility. The calcium line is commonly used as a proxy for stellar activity.
A filtered picture shows sunspots similar to the ones on Gliese 581 blamed for a false detection of a planet.
PHOTOGRAPH BY ALAN FRIEDMAN
Michael D. Lemonick
for National Geographic
Published July 3, 2014
All sorts of excitement accompanied astronomers' discovery of Gliese 581g in 2010—the alien world looked like Earth in both size and temperature, and thus seemed potentially hospitable to life.
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But according to a paper published Thursday in the journal Science, that excitement was misplaced. (Related: "First Truly Habitable Planet Discovered, Experts Say.")
"Gliese 581g doesn't exist," said lead author Paul Robertson of Penn State University in State College, Pennsylvania. Neither, he said, does another planet in the same solar system, known as Gliese 581d, announced in 2009—less clearly hospitable to life, but still once seen by some astronomers as a possible place to find aliens.
Initial Discovery
The original evidence for both worlds' existence came from measurements of its home star, Gliese 581—a dim red dwarf, about a third as massive as the sun, that resides about 22 light-years away from our solar system. (Related: "Land on 'Goldilocks' Planet for Sale on Ebay.")
Most exoplanets are too close to their stars to be seen directly with telescopes, so astronomers find them with indirect clues. In the case of Gliese 581g, they watched for subtle wobbles caused by the gravity of an orbiting planet tugging back and forth on the star in a regular pattern.
That's what Paul Butler of the Carnegie Institution for Science, in Washington, D.C., and Steven Vogt of the University of California, Santa Cruz, thought they'd observed when they announced the discovery of Gliese 581g.
The time it took the "planet" to complete one orbit (37 days) told them how far it was from the star. In the case of this cool star, that was "just at the right distance to have liquid water on its surface," Butler said at the time. The strength of the tugging, meanwhile, told them the planet was about three times as massive as Earth.
Rising Doubt
But even at the time, other astronomers questioned whether Gliese 581g was really there. A star's wobbles are measured by looking at its spectrum—its light, smeared out to form a sort of rainbow. The wobbles are so tiny, however, that it takes some statistical analysis to find a back-and-forth pattern.
Critics such as exoplanet expert Eric Ford, then at the University of Florida and now at Penn State, said that Butler's and Vogt's analysis was unconvincing, arguing that the pattern wasn't even clearly there.
Robertson and his colleagues, however, did find a pattern: "There is a real, physical signal," he said. The bad news: "It's just that it's coming from the star itself, not from the gravity of planets d and g."
Starry Eyes
What's happening, they say, is that magnetic disturbances on Gliese 581's surface—starspots—are altering the star's spectrum in such a way that it mimics the motion induced by a planet.
The star itself rotates once every 130 days, carrying the starspots with it; the disputed planets appeared to have periods of almost exactly one half and one fourth of the 130-day period. When the scientists corrected for the starspot signal, both planets disappeared.
"This analysis demonstrates pretty convincingly that these signatures are more due to stellar activity than to the existence of planets," said Ford, who wasn't involved in this research. (Butler declined to comment on the new result, and Vogt did not respond to an emailed request for comment.)
Silver Lining
At the same time, subtracting the starspot signal actually made the evidence for three other worlds in the Gliese 581 system—planets b, c, and e, all of which are too hot to be habitable—even stronger.
"It's unfortunate that the other planets don't exist," said co-author Suvrath Mahadevan, also at Penn State. "But the important takeaway is that stellar activity is an important source of contamination, and that we can [now] take it into account."
It's very encouraging, agreed Robertson, that "we can now take out the stellar influence and reveal the planet's existence."
Follow Michael D. Lemonick on Twitter.
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news ... y-science/
Gliese 832c: Life-Roasting 'Super-Venus' Discovered
Jun 30, 2014 03:26 PM ET // by Ian O'Neill
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Artistic representation of the potentially habitable Super-Earth Gliese 832c with an actual photo of its parent star, center, taken on June 25, 2014 from Aguadilla, Puerto Rico.
Efrain Morales Rivera / Astronomical Society of the Caribbean / PHL / UPR Arecibo
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View Caption +#1: Cowboys & Aliens are Coming!
View Caption +#2: The Basics
View Caption +#3: Gliese 581d
View Caption +#4: Gliese 581g
View Caption +#5: GJ 1214b
View Caption +#6: HD 209458b
View Caption +#7: Kepler-10b
View Caption +#8: Project Icarus
View Caption +#9: Are We Alone?
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One of the key incentives behind hunting down exoplanets is to find alien worlds with qualities similar to Earth. But in the case of a newly-discovered exoplanet orbiting a star only 16 light-years away, although astronomers may call it ‘habitable’ and a ‘super-Earth,’ it’s likely anything but.
Gliese 832c orbits a red dwarf star and it was discovered by the international Anglo-Australian Planet Search team led by Robert Wittenmyer of the University of New South Wales, Australia. The discovery has been accepted for publication in the Astrophysical Journal.
PHOTOS: Exquisite Exoplanetary Art
Red dwarfs are small, dim stars that generate far less energy than our sun. Therefore, for a red dwarf-orbiting planet to maintain water in a liquid state on its surface, it must orbit much closer to the star. In the case of Gliese 832, its ‘habitable zone’ is very compact and Gliese 832c has an orbital period of just under 36 days. The possibly-rocky world, which is around 5 times the mass of Earth, is therefore considered ‘habitable.’ In fact, Gliese 832c is considered to be the third-most habitable world known so far on the Earth Similarity Index (ESI).
But don’t go having dreams of blue skies, opal oceans and lush, alien forests — this world would likely choke any life (well, life as we know it).
“Given the large mass of the planet, it seems likely that it would possess a massive atmosphere, which may well render the planet inhospitable,” said co-investigator Chris Tinney, also of UNSW. “A denser atmosphere would trap heat and could make it more like a super-Venus and too hot for life.”
ANALYSIS: New Exoplanet Hunter Directly Images Alien Worlds
Like Venus, Gliese 832c is probably enduring intense warming caused by a runaway greenhouse effect. In this case, although the planet’s orbital location should allow liquid water to persist, any water would likely be ripped apart on a molecular level by intense atmospheric heating and ultraviolet light from the star, a process known as dissociation.
Of course, the astronomers have no idea what chemicals are contained within Gliese 832c’s atmosphere. The world was discovered through its gravitational pull on its parent star, so no information about its atmosphere (if it indeed has one) and any water it contains is known. The wobbling effect (which can be detected through precise radial velocity measurements) was detected by combining observations by the Anglo-Australian Telescope (AAT) at Siding Spring Observatory, Australia, the 6.5 meter Magellan Telescope and the European Southern Observatory’s 3.6 meter telescope (both located in Chile).
ANALYSIS: Awesome Exoplanet Imager Begins Hunt for Alien Worlds
In 2009, the same team detected another planet around Gliese 832. Thought to be a large gas giant like Jupiter, Gliese 832b has a 9 year orbit around the star. It is for this reason that astronomers believe the system to resemble the multi-planetary structure of our solar system, only more compact. And more planets could be discovered in the future.
“With an outer giant planet and an interior potentially rocky planet, this planetary system can be thought of as a miniature version of our Solar System,” added Tinney.
So beware the headlines that suggest Gliese 832c is ‘Earth-like’ — it is more likely ‘Venus-like’ and very alien to us terrestrial lifeforms.
Source: UNSW
http://news.discovery.com/space/alien-l ... 140630.htm
Serendipity or not, it's still a great find!hunck said:I wonder if they just struck lucky in finding it or did they have an inkling there was something interesting at that location.
Telescope Captures Stunning Images of Alien Planets and Young Star
by Mike Wall, Space.com Senior Writer | January 08, 2015 07:00am ET
Gemini Planet Imager (GPI) photo of the planetary system HR 8799, showing three of the system's four known planets. (The star is in the middle; planet b is outside the field of view shown here, off to the left.) These data were obtained on Nov. 17, 2013, during the first week of operation of GPI.
Credit: Christian Marois (NRC Canada), Patrick Ingraham (Stanford University) and the GPI Team.
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The world's most sensitive exoplanet imager has returned some amazing photos, as well as surprising results, just a year after opening its eyes.
The Gemini Planet Imager (GPI), which is installed on the Gemini South telescope in Chile, first started observing the heavens in November 2013 and didn't begin full science operations until this past November. But the instrument has already detected unexpected differences between two sister exoplanets and helped characterize the ring of dust and rocky bodies surrounding a young star, researchers announced Tuesday (Jan. 6).
Astronomers trained GPI on HR 8799, a star found about 130 light-years from Earth that's known to host four planets. One stunning GPI image captured three of those planets, as well as the star, in the same frame. And GPI's measurements revealed significant differences in the light coming from two of the worlds, HR 8799c and HR 8799d — a surprise, since both planets are about the same size (roughly 20 percent larger than Jupiter) and appear to be the same color. [7 Ways to Discover Alien Planets]
"This was not expected at all based on the prior photometry," Marshall Perrin, of the Space Telescope Science Institute in Baltimore, said Tuesday during a news conference at the annual winter meeting of the American Astronomical Society in Seattle.
Perrin and his colleagues aren't yet sure what the divergent spectra mean, but they have a theory.
"We believe that, most likely, what we're seeing is more uniform cloud cover on one of these planets versus more patchy cloud cover on the other, where you can see deeper into the atmospheric layers," Perrin said.
Gemini Planet Imager photo of the circumstellar disc around the star HR 4796A. These observations reveal a complex pattern of variations in brightness and polarization around the disc.
Credit: Marshall Perrin (Space Telescope Science Institute), Gaspard Duchene (UC Berkeley), Max Millar-Blanchaer (University of Toronto), and the GPI Team.
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The Gemini Planet Imager has also studied the circumstellar disc surrouding HR 4796A, a young star that lies about 240 light-years from Earth. This ring of dust and planetary building blocks — which Perrin likened to a scaled-up version of our own solar system's Kuiper Belt — has been observed by other instruments, but GPI's keen eyes have revealed new insights.
For example, GPI's measurements show that HR 4796A's disc is partially opaque, suggesting that its dust is packed much more tightly than the dust at the outer reaches of Earth's solar system, Perrin said.
"In some ways, it's analogous to one of Saturn's rings — very narrow, slightly optically thick to get the brightness ratio right on the two sides of the disc," he said. "We're still thinking about the dynamics of this."
Diagram depicting the Gemini Planet Imager team's revised model for the orientation and composition of circumstellar disc around the star HR 4796A.
Credit: Marshall Perrin (Space Telescope Science Institute), Gaspard Duchene (UC Berkeley), Max Millar-Blanchaer (University of Toronto), and the GPI Team.
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While GPI has been characterizing alien worlds and systems, it has not discovered any exoplanets yet. But that could change over the next few years, as astronomers plan to use the instrument to search 600 nearby stars for Jupiter-like planets.
GPI is designed to find and characterize such large gas giants. The instrument isn't sensitive enough to study small, rocky worlds — but its operations may help researchers develop future gear that can do just that, Perrin said.
"We're going to be opening up a lot of new discoveries, hopefully, over the next few years in terms of exoplanet imaging and, in the long run, taking these technologies and scaling them to future 30-meter telescopes, and perhaps large telescopes in space, to continue direct imaging and push down towards the Earth-like planet regime," he said.
http://www.space.com/28202-exoplanet-photos-gemini-planet-imager.html
Just make sure you don't get put on the B Ark...Yeah. Earth 2.
Sorry guys I was out last few days - did Nasa announce anything?