After 15 years this thread is once more woke!
Was Tulip Mania really the first great financial bubble?
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Tulip Mania is often cited as the classic example of a financial bubble: when the price of something goes up and up, not because of its intrinsic value, but because people who buy it expect to be able to sell it again at a profit.
It may seem foolish to pay $1m for a tulip bulb - but if you hope to sell it on to another receptive buyer for $2m, it can still be a rational investment. This is known as the "greater fool" theory.
Whether or not it explains tulip mania however, is a subtle question.
Charles Mackay's 1841 account has cast a long shadow over our imagination. His book, Extraordinary Popular Delusions And The Madness of Crowds, is full of vivid stories about how the entire Dutch nation was involved. But those extravagant tales - including the one I have just told you, about the hungry sailor - are probably false. ...
As Mike Dash notes in Tulipomania, the philosopher Justus Lipsius wasn't impressed by the tulip collectors.
"What should I call this but a kind of merry madness?" he said, adding: "They do vaingloriously hunt after strange herbs and flowers, which having gotten, they preserve and cherish more carefully than any mother doth her childe."
But, in the early 1600s, the price of tulips just kept on rising. Adriaen Pauw, who was fabulously wealthy and the closest thing Holland had to a prime minister at the time, built a garden full of artfully-positioned mirrors. In the centre were a few rare tulips, made by the mirrors to look like a multitude - an admission that not even Pauw could afford to fill his garden.
The highest price for which we have good evidence was 5,200 guilders for a single bulb, in that winter of 1637. That is more than three times what Rembrandt charged for painting The Night Watch just five years later, and 20 times the annual income of a skilled worker, such as a carpenter. ...
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-51311368