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Cocoa Coup

rynner2

Gone But Not Forgotten
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Mystery trader buys all Europe's cocoa
Even Willy Wonka might struggle to use this much chocolate. Yesterday, somebody bought 241,000 tonnes of cocoa beans.
Jonathan Sibun and Harry Wallop
Published: 7:00AM BST 17 Jul 2010

The purchase was enough to move the entire global cocoa market, sending the price to the highest level since 1977, and triggering rumours and intrigue in the City.

It is unclear which person, or group of traders, was behind the deal, but it was the largest single cocoa trade for 14 years.

The cocoa beans, which are sitting in warehouses either in The Netherlands, Hamburg, or closer to home in London, Liverpool or Humberside is equivalent to the entire supply of the commodity in Europe, and would fill more than five Titanics. :shock: They are worth £658 million.

Analysts said it was very unlikely that a chocolate company, such as Nestle or Kraft, or even their suppliers, would buy such a huge order in one go and that is was probable that one or a number of speculators, possibly hedge funds, had attempted to corner the market. By doing this, they would have control of the entire supply in Europe, forcing the price yet higher.

Eugen Weinberg, an analyst with Commerzbank, said: “For one buyer it would likely be a little bit too large. It would be a crazy number. That said, if you’re cornering the market ...”

“If it looks like cornering, feels like cornering and the price difference between Europe and the US is so large, it probably is cornering.”

“There is some play taking place. No one really knows what is going on.”

Andreas Christiansen, president of the German Cocoa Trade Association, said the “hefty” price move was “a mirror of what can be done if people control the physical stock”.

Cocoa prices, which had been on the rise this year, rose 0.7 per cent yesterday, to £2,732 per metric ton. By contrast, cocoa being traded on the US exchange fell.

This is the highest price for cocoa in Europe since 1977, and comes after a series of weak harvests in Ghana and the Ivory Coast, the main areas where the crop is grown. Fears of floods in the Ivory Coast have sent prices even higher, as speculators have bet on another poor harvest, and a shortage of supply.

At the same time demand is on the increase, especially as China and India develop an ever sweeter tooth.

Cocoa prices have more than doubled since 2007, forcing chocolate makers to raise prices and in some cases to change recipes to use less cocoa.

Laurent Pipitone, senior statistician at the International Cocoa Organisation in London, said: “In the past two years, all companies have increased prices."

There are fears that the extraordinary activity on the commodity markets will filter down to higher prices on the shop shelves for the nation's favourite chocolate bars, even milk chocolate, which has only 25 per cent cocoa content.

The trade took place on the London International Financial Futures and Options Exchange (Liffe), a market which trades contracts in commodities such as corn, wheat, sugar, coffee and cocoa.

Most of these contracts are "options" or "futures" giving a trader the right to buy these commodities at a certain price at a certain time in the future. What made yesterday's trade so unusual was that the mystery buyer or buyers took physical delivery of the commodity.

The beans will be stored in one of Liffe's warehouses in Amsterdam, Antwerp, Bremen, Felixstowe, Hamburg, Humberside, Le Havre, Liverpool, London, Rotterdam, or Teesside.

There have been mounting worries that speculators have been distorting the cocoa market in recent weeks, with brokers writing a letter of protest to Liffe earlier this month.

Barbara Crowther, a spokesman at the Fairtrade Foundation, said that no farmers in West Africa would benefit from the higher prices. She said: "This speculation only serves to increase volatility and uncertainty. Part of the problems in rent years have been the lack of investment in improving cocoa farms. But the farmers have already been paid a set price – none of this money will filter down to them."

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/mark ... cocoa.html
 
Will chocolate be more expensive, then? Oh dear. :lol:
 
Looks like this has been going on for a couple of weeks at least. On the 6th of July, the Guardian said

a financial speculator has bought unusually large amounts of cocoa futures contracts, pushing their price to a 30-year record of £2,590 per tonne. Since the future contract expires on 15 July, traders with short positions will have to buy more contracts in the market to offset their position – but at record prices, few are willing to do so. Instead, they will be cornered into selling some of the physical cocoa that they hold.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/jul/06/commodities-cocoa-futures-liffe

I don't know what this means, but I have the sudden urge to rush out and buy lots of chocolate :shock: Hang on, isn't that what they want us to do!!
 
This is the final straw.

Revolution will break out.

Chocolate Riots!
 
Someone needs to put a bar on all such transactions in the future.
It could be called the Chocolate Bar... :)

Who would buy all this chocolate in one go? Someone in China, perhaps...
 
Wasn't it reported by the legendary Bill Cooper that the alien captured at Roswell loved strawberry ice-cream? Maybe someone is preparing to welcome an entire fleet of chocolate ice-cream loving beings. :D
 
Choc finger: Meet the real-life Willy Wonka who's just bought an incredible £658m of cocoa beans...
By Christopher Leake and Rob Cooper
Last updated at 2:07 AM on 18th July 2010

A British financier who dramatically cornered a huge chunk of the world’s cocoa supply has been dubbed ‘Choc Finger’ by City traders.

Anthony Ward, 50, who has amassed a £36?million fortune, is a real-life Willy Wonka and now owns enough beans to manufacture 5.3?billion quarter-pound chocolate bars.

The holding is so massive it threatens to force manufacturers to raise the price of some of Britain’s most popular chocolate.

Armajaro Holdings, a hedge fund founded by multi-millionaire Mr Ward, pulled off the £658?million purchase of 241,000 tons of cocoa beans.

It is likely that the mountain of beans will be held in warehouses in London, Liverpool, Humberside and Holland.

The move was the largest single cocoa purchase for 14 years and came as bean prices rose to the highest level since 1977 – £2,732 per ton.

The purchase has surprised commodity dealers because, in a highly unusual move, Mr Ward’s firm has actually taken delivery of the beans.
According to industry sources, in 98 per cent of transactions, traders exchange contracts which give them the option to buy and sell cocoa at various prices and at different times without ever taking possession of the stock.

The move has prompted speculation that Mr Ward is stock-piling huge volumes of cocoa in order to exert a stranglehold over supply and force the price even higher.

Public school-educated Mr Ward began life as a motorcycle dispatch rider before making his fortune as a commodity trader.
He made cocoa his speciality and ten years ago began amassing control of up to 15 per cent of the world’s stocks.

In 2002, Mr Ward made millions when he pulled off a deal similar to his current gamble.
He purchased 204,000 tons of cocoa at a time when supply was limited because of poor harvests and political instability in the equatorial area of West Africa – the world’s main cocoa production area. Mr Ward made more than £40?million in just two months after the price of the commodity rose steeply from £1,400 a ton to £1,600 a ton.

Besides his affinity with chocolate, Mr Ward appears to share little in common with the eccentric Mr Wonka, dreamed up by children’s writer Roald Dahl and played by Johnny Depp in the 2005 film Charlie And The Chocolate Factory.

Mr Ward and his wife Carolyn enjoy a life of luxury thanks to his cocoa deals. They live in an £11?million six- storey Georgian town house in Mayfair, Central London.

The mansion, which boasts four reception rooms, five bedrooms with en suite bathrooms, a self-contained staff suite, passenger lift to all floors, a terrace and patio, covers a massive 5,947 square feet.

Mr Ward’s annual director’s salary is £3.4?million.

The product of a military family, he began as a trainee trader at City brokers Hutton before going on to make a name for himself at a series of famous trading companies.

The financier enjoys fine food and wines and fast cars. He is an enthusiastic rally driver when he is not adding to his fortune, suffering a spectacular crash in Poland in 1992 before he made his riches.

One European broker said of Mr Ward: ‘He is a true Englishman. He not bolshie or aggressive. And he doesn’t take himself terribly seriously.’

Mr Ward’s firm has offices and agricultural investments all over the world. Armajaro, which was founded in 1998, had an annual turnover of £929?million last year and made a profit of £17?million. It employs 486 staff.

How the rest of the chocolate industry is reacting to Mr Ward’s latest deal was unclear last night. A spokesman for Cadbury’s said: ‘We never comment on future marketing plans.’

A Nestle spokesman added: ‘We do not comment on future marketing strategies.’

Under EU rules a milk chocolate bar must consist of at least 25 per cent cocoa solids, while a dark bar must consist of at least 35 per cent.

Mr Ward was unavailable for comment last night. His housekeeper said: ‘He is not here and I don’t know when he is going to be back.’

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article ... z0u1LCS7hy
 
Mythopoeika said:
Someone needs to put a bar on all such transactions in the future.
It could be called the Chocolate Bar... :)

Who would buy all this chocolate in one go? Someone in China, perhaps...

Maybe Aliens from Mars.
 
ramonmercado said:
Mythopoeika said:
Someone needs to put a bar on all such transactions in the future.
It could be called the Chocolate Bar... :)

Who would buy all this chocolate in one go? Someone in China, perhaps...

Maybe Aliens from Mars.

...or from another Galaxy
 
...Or they could just be from somewhere else in the Milky Way.
 
I think I almost heard a Ripple of light applause
 
...mind you, you'd have to be an absolute Flake to think it was aliens...
 
Mr Ward was unavailable for comment last night. His housekeeper said: ‘P*ss off, this morning I open the kitchen cupboard to get a teabag, and what do I find? 241,000 tons of bleeding cocoa! That's what I found! You know what I'll do when I find that cad! Bury him under his cocoa!

It's the way you tell 'em :D
 
Thanks for the bold type - without it, I'd never have spotted your pun Nestled within your post. Can I call a Time Out on all these terrible jokes?
 
Peripart said:
Thanks for the bold type - without it, I'd never have spotted your pun Nestled within your post. Can I call a Time Out on all these terrible jokes?

You're a bit of a flake.
 
There seems to be an awful lot of Snickering taking place here, but you'd have to be a Fruit and Nutcase not to give a Finger of Fudge about this.
 
I hope this isn't too off-topic, but this kind of financial investment is no picnic. If we go through another credit crunchie, the stock won't be worth buttons.
 
Dr_Baltar said:
I hope this isn't too off-topic, but this kind of financial investment is no picnic. If we go through another credit crunchie, the stock won't be worth buttons.

The smarties will invest wisely.
 
Well, whatever he's planning is certainly going to be no picnic. The wispa in the city is that the ambassador is upset. What with his reception coming up.

Oh dear! I'm showing my age.
 
It's obviously going to give someone cause for Celebrations
 
We just need some heroes to help save these poor cocoa beans.
 
This is likely to ruffle a few feathers. He might end up with a bounty on his head.
 
We don't need another hero, we need...the milk tray man!

I think he's in Buenos Aires, if you ring, it's cheaper after eight
 
misterwibble said:
He might end up with a bounty on his head.
That would just look silly.

(But not as silly as a walnut whip on his head. That would be a treet to see!)
 
Who, What, Why: Will chocolate prices rocket at Christmas?

A hedge fund manager has bought up nearly all the physical stocks of cocoa in Europe - leading to speculation that chocolate prices could rise in the run up to Christmas.

It might sound like a chocoholic's dream - enough cocoa to make five million bars of the nation's favourite treat.

But Anthony Ward is no Willy Wonka.

And the £650m ($992m) worth of cocoa reportedly bought by his Armajaro fund could leave chocolate makers feeling a touch queasy, according to industry experts.

Cocoa prices were already soaring after a decline in production in Africa, according to the International Cocoa Organization (ICCO) market report for June.

Now this deal, for pretty much the entire stock held in the 35 warehouses of the London International Financial Futures and Options Exchange (Liffe), has pushed them to their highest level since 1977.

You might wonder where a hedge fund would put 7% of the world's annual cocoa output but the ICCO's Laurent Pipitone says it is likely to be stored in Liffe's warehouses - mostly in the Netherlands and Belgium - until being sold on.

But what could Mr Ward's decision mean for sweet-toothed consumers?

According to Mr Pipitone, the organisation's senior statistican, it is highly unusual for just one buyer to snap up such a large quantity.

While most buyers are looking to secure their supply for a specified sum - insulating themselves against sudden rises in costs - another motive could be to "squeeze" the market by controlling supply, forcing prices higher.

"A company might want to take the opportunity of the shortage on the markets to try to buy all the cocoa and benefit from the high price. Maybe they will have some market power in the coming months," Mr Pipitone says.

Sixteen European cocoa firms and trade associations have already written to the exchange to complain that manipulation of trading rules - albeit perfectly legal - was becoming a problem, the ICCO has reported.

With the next African cocoa harvest not due until late September and October, there are concerns within the industry of a continued shortage of supply during September - the exchange's next trading month.

"Companies will be buying for Christmas so we might have a problem," suggests Mr Pipitone.

About a third of all cocoa available to European firms is traded on the Liffe but buying direct from suppliers in Africa incurs shipping and insurance costs and is unlikely to be much cheaper, he says.

So, could there be a lack of chocolate in Christmas stockings this year - due to the price of a selection box rocketing?

"There will certainly be some nervousness in the market because someone has cornered so much supply - that in itself can force prices up," says retail analyst Neil Saunders.

However, he says it may not necessarily be bad news for shoppers.

"One reason the consumer is in a strong position is that there's quite a lot of competition in the market and resistance to putting up prices," says Mr Saunders, of Verdict Research.

"The increase in costs could be absorbed between retailers and manufacturers."

If consumers do share the pain, it may only be a matter of a few pence - or else they may see the weight of products reduced as prices remain static, he says.

However, Mr Saunders adds that manufacturers are particularly keen to keep prices low around key seasons like Christmas, when retailers offer heavy promotional discounts.

So, those two for £10 deals on bumper tins of Christmas chocolates may yet be safe.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-10684323
 
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