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'Something strange is happening' It looks as if the Kremlin is already rehearsing Putin's funeral, political analysts say
Something strange is going on in the Kremlin, according to Swedish Russia expert Anders Åslund. It is often speculated that Vladimir Putin has cancer, Parkinson's disease or is suffering from a steroid addiction that he developed because of his obsession with bodybuilding. But not much is known about how he is really living - or if he is even still alive - writes American political analyst Jason Jay Smart for the Ukrainian news server Kyiv Post.
The Kremlin denies that Putin has died, but there are growing signs that a political change is afoot in Moscow. Åslund believes the Kremlin is using a presidential double because "too many strange things have emerged that are not typical of Putin."
According to the expert, Putin lives "in complete isolation, probably because of his lowered immunity, while his double walks among the people and pats them on the back, which the real Putin would never do."
Rumours emerged on the Russian platform Telegram that Putin had suffered a cardiac arrest and died. This was also claimed by former FSB member Valery Solovyev, who also gave the exact time and place of Putin's death.
At the time these rumours emerged, Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov, who likes to record videos of himself, was conspicuously silent. His 15-year-old son, Adam, has been named commander-in-chief of his security service, which some observers believe means he may be poised to take over the leadership of Chechnya.
Putin's successor
Nikolai Patrushev, Secretary of the Security Council, is often mentioned as a possible successor to Putin, but he does not get along with Kadyrov. If Patrushev comes to power, he will eliminate all his rivals, including Kadyrov, US Kremlin expert Mark Katz points out.
Rumours of Putin's death were reinforced by Patrushev's public eulogy of Putin a few days ago, according to the Belarusian opposition Charter 97. He said the Russian president was "tired of the violence-filled 1990s, when society was waiting for solutions to socio-economic problems and strengthening national security, and Russia needed a leader who would focus on the welfare of the people."
"Such a leader was Putin, who knew in detail the situation in the country and had a clear programme of action and vision of the goal. He also understood the importance of an evolutionary approach and rejected revolutionary leaps that would always weaken the Russian state. He believed in the people," Patrushev praised Putin.
Rehearsal in the Kremlin
Åslund admits that "the Kremlin is very isolated today, so we know much less than we used to".
But he believes that Patrushev's speech about Putin in the past tense and his black suit are, like Professor Soloviev's remarks, a kind of rehearsal. "It looks as if the Kremlin is preparing Russia for Putin's death," the expert muses.
In addition, Patrushev read a statement a few days ago assigning blame for Russia's war against Ukraine to the United States, and made no mention of the so-called "Ukrainian Nazis" or justification for the invasion.
He literally said, "There is no war between the people of Ukraine and the people of Russia, there is only open aggression by the United States. That is why Russia must defend its land and people. (...) No one benefits from the conflict in Ukraine except the United States."
Patrushev's monologue was probably not a conciliatory message to Ukraine and an expression of a desire to reconcile with it. Indeed, Patrushev also said last week that the war in Ukraine only makes the use of nuclear weapons more likely.
Neither Katz nor Åslund thinks Putin is dead. But Katz thinks that when it happens, we will know it by the open struggle between Putin's top minions vying for power, concludes American political analyst Jason Jay Smart.
a bully, yes.
