Iranian dissident assesses current situation and the medium term term prospects for war/peace.
Yassamine Mather asks what effect the presidential campaign will have on US relations with the Islamic Republic.
When it comes to US-Iran relations, we are truly in volatile, unpredictable times - a bit like Brexit. In late spring and early summer everyone was talking about an imminent attack against Iran’s military bases. The question was not whether such an attack would take place, but when.
Of course, the threat of war is still there. However, we have seen many flip-flops by the Trump administration and time seems to be running out for a military attack, perhaps in the form of air raids. The 2020 US presidential election campaign has already started and there are clear signs that Donald Trump is eager for negotiations and a deal he can sell as his foreign policy success. After all, if you can do a deal with the Taliban, why not with Iran?
The reasons for wanting a war have not changed - the US administration is losing close allies, Trump’s poll ratings are falling, some Republicans are distancing themselves from the president, the economy is doing worse than expected …
https://weeklyworker.co.uk/worker/1265/looking-for-foreign-success/